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RH's avatar

Nice recap of the last 23 years. At the risk of being labeled a Putin-lover, I will say the only thing you missed is the non-zero probability of the Ukraine-Russia conflict starting a nuclear war.

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Bill Wendel's avatar

I too am tired of endless wars. Aren't we all? As far as bringing them to a close, that's a wonderful sentiment. Tell us how. But, we know, that's not how war works. Neither the war in Ukraine or in Gaza and now Lebanon is discretionary.

It might be argued that U.S. involvement is discretionary. However, your assertion that "anyone who insists [that Russian aggression poses a broader threat than just Ukraine] does not understand history nor is dealing with any semblance of reality", strikes me as condescending and wrong. Tell that to Poland and Lithuania.

Let's take a quick peek at some history that you brought up in this piece. You said here that "Obama's little war against Syria ... gave rise to the Islamic State in Syria (ISIS)". Prior to October 2015, Obama's actions against Syria entailed diplomacy and sanctions. Syrian Shiite regime, propped up by Iranian, was using chemical weapons to suppress its own Sunni people. ISIS expanded into Syria in 2013 and declared a caliphate in 2014, and began recruiting fighters from everywhere, including the USA. So the timeline doesn't support your narrative. ISIS remains a threat, despite claims made by our commander in chief upon an abrupt, unplanned exit from that theater, abandoning allies and equipment, and putting troops at risk. "It's just a bunch of sand", he said.

Roll forward to Iraq. So much for strategic patience. Zero U.S. soldiers had been killed in Iraq for 18 months prior to our exit. Nevertheless our commander in chief at the time negotiated with the Taliban for a unilateral surrender and withdrawal. As you said, it's now just as it was when we arrived, with the Taliban in power and subjugating its populace. I have a photograph that my cousin took when stationed there of a group of healthy, happy school children, including girls. The Taliban have since ended that woke thing. Mission abandoned. The U.S. has nothing to show for the lives and treasure expended there.

Regarding Africa, a professor of mine in college, circa 1980, described then how the US and Soviets were unsuccessfully competing for mindshare in Africa, both insisting "trust us not them!", while the Chinese were in there solving problems and winning the hearts and minds. So, on the surface, it seems that has not changed much. I would caution against monolithic thinking. Every nation has its factions, such that you be duped and 'help' the wrong people, or the 'help' (money/food, etc.) is intercepted and repurposed.

On WMD, I also supported the Iraq invasion. I am not convinced the case for doing so was contrived. There is a logical argument that the WMD were proven to have existed, and their whereabouts were unaccounted for. The U.S. was in Afghanistan, and Saddam Hussein was thumbing his nose at the west over the war, denying about WMD, stonewalling nuclear inspections. In my view this presented a threat to our flank.

All in all, I appreciate your thoughts here, and learned a few things (e.g. about the Druze) but take issue with the blame game, which seemed counterproductive toward any constructive point. I agree with you that effective diplomacy is as important or more important than military threats. I don't agree that the U.S. habitually issues "threats rather than diplomacy". That does impugn "You're with us or your against us!", or "My red buttons works, little Rocket Man!".

Finally, I would remind that no U.S. troops are deployed in Ukraine or Gaza.

Knowing what makes the U.S. military exceptional, other than size, I'll dismiss your remark that it is as "ill-prepared as it was before December 7, 1941". I totally agree, that we are spread thin and our readiness and the all-volunteer proposition require ongoing attention. Herein lies the seeds of agreement. Our military budget is thee times the size of the next largest (China). Yet, as it seems we agree, we are spread too thin. Ergo, a super duper military is not "the answer" to national security in the 21st century. Perhaps the same goes for assault weapons on the streets in American cities. Wrong mindset.

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